Markets Remain Remarkably Resilient; Top Goldman Trader Says Geopolitics Aren't The Problem

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...credit is a repricing, not a crisis.


Sustaining The Unsustainable

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Before we get too carried away with buying the dip on the latest hopes of TACO perhaps it is worth remembering that the advocates of TACO theory are mostly the same people who told us that universal tariffs would never happen...

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"I Want China To Thrive, But...": Trump Outlines Three Demands For Beijing Before High-Level Trade Talks 

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"I expect we'll probably work out a very fair deal with President Xi of China,"


If You Want To Be A Serious Bear Right Now...

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...your timing needs to be impeccable, or the fundamental setup needs to change... otherwise you’re fighting the Fed AND fiscal stimulus AND US mega cap tech...


Zelensky Presses Plan For 25 Patriot Batteries Using Frozen Russian Funds

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Trump: "I think 78% of the land [in Donbass] is already taken by Russia. You leave it the way it is right now."


How Goldman Is Hedging For "A Credit Tail Event"

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"a leveraged trade for a scenario of significantly wider credit spreads and increased pricing of Fed cuts; a downside growth tail or credit event."


Speculative Bull Runs And The Value Of A Bearish Tilt

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“Far more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections, or trying to anticipate corrections, than has been lost in the corrections themselves...”


OpenAI-Microsoft Friction Grows As ChatGPT App Growth Slows, Data Center Buildout Risks Overcapacity

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"MSFT CFO Amy Hood and her staff told colleagues that catering to OpenAI's demands could put Microsoft at risk..." 


China GDP Grows At Slowest Pace In A Year Amid Crumbling Domestic Demand, Crashing Real Estate Market

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"This pattern of development is not sustainable, and so growth is at risk of slowing further over the medium-term unless the authorities take much more proactive steps to support consumer spending..."


Supreme Court Will Decide Whether Drug Users Can Possess Guns

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Federal law prohibits anyone "who is an unlawful user of or addicted to any controlled substance" from possessing a firearm...


Chipmaker Nexperia's China Arm Tells Staff To Ignore Dutch HQ, Deepening Semiconductor Split

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The dispute over control of Nexperia is unfolding amid ongoing U.S.–China semiconductor supply chain tensions and export blacklists...


Goldman Lists Four Reasons To Buy The Dip In European Defense Stocks

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Reason 3: "The United States is pressing allies to meet higher contributions. Any sign of Europe..." 


Did CIA Mislead Witkoff & Kushner On Key Hamas Intel During Critical Phase Of Peace-Talks?

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The CIA intelligence was the exact opposite of reality...


Key Events This Week: CPI; Fed Blackout Joins Government Blackout

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The September CPI report will be released on Friday. There are no speaking engagements by Fed officials this week, reflecting the FOMC’s blackout period.


White House's Hassett Says Shutdown Could End This Week, Threatens "Stronger Measures" If Democrats Balk

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"The moderate Democrats will move forward and get us an open government..."


Santa’s Coming - And “They” Just Shorted the Lows

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US ETF shorts saw the largest % increase in 5+ months.

Judge Who Approved Mar-a-Lago Raid Once Shared Office With Jeffrey Epstein

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'I knew that he had left to work for Epstein while this case was pending. I did not know that he is the one that filed these articles of incorporation...'


'Everything Is Weird' - Goldman Macro Trader Ruminates On Multiple Cross-Currents Hitting All At Once

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'Everything, everywhere, all at once... Asset correlations are breaking down...'


Gold Rises To A Record 30% Of Global Reserve Holdings; Will Overtake USD Above $5,790/oz

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Gold's share global reserve holdings has risen from 24% at the end of June to 30% currently taking the spot gold price into account. And once gold tops $5,790, it will become the largest reserve asset in the world


Don Lemon Urges 'Black And Brown' Americans To Arm Themselves Against ICE

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'When you have people knocking on your door and taking you away without due process as a citizen, isn't that what the Second Amendment was written for?'